Ugh! I had a whole thing typed up and then I lost it somehow. So, since this division has the laziest fielder in baseball, this is going to be the laziest post for my predictions. Here they are:
Giants
Dodgers
Diamondback
Rockies
Padres
Giants have arguably the best pitching staff in the majors: 2 Cy Youngs, Barry Zito has improved every year since coming over, My favorite for the Cy Young in Matt Cain and oh yea, but they way their 4th pitcher has a No-No to his credit. Their offense is underrated. They have decent pop at the corners and brought in very dependable versatility with DeRosa. Renteria will have a better year, closer to his career average, which will help tremendously and when freddy gets healthy he will hit near .300 as always.
Dodgers have a great team, but will not make the playoffs. They have great offense at every position, but they have the distraction of manny being manny. He's already said this is his last season with the dodgers BEFORE spring training, sheesh. Their pitching I believe with be spotty. Kershaw is still young, Billingsley is talented but inconsistent, kuroda is old and injury prone and you never know what you're going to get from Padilla.
I think the Diamondbacks are better than they performed last year. But, of course it depends on the health of Webb. Can he return to Cy Young form? Will Adam LaRoche actually hit at the beginning of a season, and can all their young guys bounce back and have the seasons they were meant to have? Big questions to be answered, but if 2 out 3 are answered the way they want, they will compete, if all 3 get answered this division could be theres.
I just don't like the Rockies. I don't know what it is. I think they have great talent for the future, but I don't think its aged enough for right now. Their pitching is not as good as people think and there are going to be a lot of strike outs in their line up, aside from Helton.
The Padres have the best first basemen in the National League not named Pujols and the Hairston Brothers. Oh ya, and Kyle Blanks is really really REALLY Big. Who could ask for more?
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Rockies Rotation:
Name (Age) Best season record, ERA, K's, WHIP
Usbaldo Jimenez (25) 15-12 3.47 198 1.23
Jeff Francis (29) 17-9 4.16 117 1.29
Aaron Cook (31)16-9 3.96 96 1.34
Jorge de la Rosa (29) 16-9 4.38 193 1.38
Jason Hammel (27) 10-8 4.33 133 1.39
None are old, any of them would be the #1 starter on the Pirates. No other team in MLB can claim that. Deepest rotation in the league IMO.
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/fifth-starters-dont-exist/
interesting article about fifth starters. only the cubs and rockies had 5 starts have over 24 starts last season.
Ya Ya Ya. You think I don't know all of that?? That's why I said, "i don't think they are as good as people THINK." They put together a great season last year. I do not think they get it done this year outside of Usbaldo.
who the hell names their kid usbaldo?
Good point 仲亨. I agree that Ryan contradicted himself by agreeing the statistics show the Rockies pitchers are good, but instead claimed they aren't as good as people THINK. Don't you mean they aren't as good as their NUMBERS?
Barry Zito will continue to improve (as he gets older) and should probably have a line that looks like this: 14-7, 3.91 ERA, 187Ks, 1.26 WHIP.
Oh wait, that is utterly ridiculous. Zito will probably pitch like this:
8-11, 4.53 ERA, 121 Ks, 1.55 WHIP
Yeah, highest paid 8 game winner in all of baseball...
I enjoy a crazy prediction, but really, the Giants still have no offense, Zito would be a decent 3rd or 4th starter for a team scoring 5-6 runs per game, but not for the Giants (4.06 runs per game...)
Renteria? Freddy Sanchez? Mark DeRosa?? Sorry, I'm not buying the Giants winning that division.
Offord: That does not contradict myself because people think they are going to be a great staff this year because of their numbers, hence me saying they aren't as good as people think is completely rational.
Ngewo: are you aware that Zito leads all active pitchers with most consecutive 10+ victories per season. There are only a handful of players who have done that more in the history of the major league, and I believe a couple of them retired in the last couple years, Greg Maddux most notably as the record holder. Maybe that should be my CDP for the NL West, Zito will win atleast 12 games and have an ERA under 4.
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